NECO 2023 · Paper 2 · Q15

  1. (a)

    The payoff matrix of players AA and BB in a game is (3451)\begin{pmatrix} 3 & 4 \\ 5 & 1 \end{pmatrix}. Find the (i) maximin value; (ii) minimax value; (iii) mixed strategies of AA and BB; (iv) value of the game.

    Show the answer

    (i) 3; (ii) 4; (iii) AA: (45,15)(\frac45, \frac15), BB: (35,25)(\frac35, \frac25); (iv) 175=3.4\frac{17}{5} = 3.4

  2. (b)

    The scores of 5000 students follow a normal distribution with mean 72 and variance 25. Determine the number of students who obtained scores between 80 and 84.

Worked solution (try it first)

(a)(i)

  1. Row minima: 3 and 1, so the maximin value is 3.

(ii)

  1. Column maxima: 5 and 4, so the minimax value is 4.
  2. They differ, so there is no saddle point and mixed strategies are needed.

(iii)

  1. Let AA play row 1 with probability pp: 3p+5(1−p)=4p+1(1−p)3p + 5(1 - p) = 4p + 1(1 - p), so 5−2p=1+3p5 - 2p = 1 + 3p and p=45p = \frac45.
  2. AA plays (45,15)\left(\frac45, \frac15\right).
  3. Let BB play column 1 with probability qq: 3q+4(1−q)=5q+1(1−q)3q + 4(1 - q) = 5q + 1(1 - q), so 4−q=1+4q4 - q = 1 + 4q and q=35q = \frac35.
  4. BB plays (35,25)\left(\frac35, \frac25\right).

(iv)

  1. Value =3(45)+5(15)= 3\left(\frac45\right) + 5\left(\frac15\right)
    =175= \frac{17}{5}
    =3.4= 3.4.

(b)

  1. σ=25=5\sigma = \sqrt{25} = 5.
  2. z1=80−725=1.6z_1 = \dfrac{80 - 72}{5} = 1.6 and z2=84−725=2.4z_2 = \dfrac{84 - 72}{5} = 2.4.
  3. P=Φ(2.4)−Φ(1.6)P = \Phi(2.4) - \Phi(1.6)
    =0.9918−0.9452= 0.9918 - 0.9452
    =0.0466= 0.0466, so about 0.0466×5000≈2330.0466 \times 5000 \approx 233 students.

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